2024 NFL Week 7 Odds: Odds, Picks, Ravens-Buccaneers Lines, Cardinals-Chargers

The final day of Week 7 gives way to a Monday Night Football doubleheader featuring the NFL’s most dynamic offensive linemen. In the first game of the night, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, riding a four-game winning streak, will face Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN/ABC/ESPN+). The Ravens are currently -275 favorites to win the AFC North, while the Buccaneers are +105 odds to win the NFC South, behind only the Atlanta Falcons. The Ravens are +300 to win the AFC, trailing only the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs (+185). Tampa Bay has the best odds to win the NFC (+1400). The game started at -4.5 for the Ravens and then saw some movement to -3.5 on Monday morning; the total amount remained the same and amounted to 50.5.

In Game 2, Justin Herbert, JK Dobbins and the Los Angeles Chargers head to State Farm Stadium in Glendale to take on Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals. (9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+). The Cardinals are 2-4 (third in the NFC West) and the Chargers are 3-2 (second in the AFC West). The lineup for the primetime game on the West Coast opened at Chargers -2.5 but has since moved to Chargers -1.5 heading into kickoff. The amount remains at 42.5.

Here’s everything you need to know to bet on the Week 7 doubleheader of “Monday Night Football” with the best odds from Eric Moody and Seth Walder.

Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET.

Play lines

Crows vs pirates

Spreading: Crows -3.5
Money line: Crows (-200), Pirates (+170)
More/less: 50.5

Range in the first half of the year: Ravens -2.5 (-120), Pirates +2.5 (Even)
Cash line in the first half of the year: Ravens (-175), Pirates (+135)
Ravens total points: O/U 26.5 points (Over -130/Under even)
Buccaneers total points: O/U 22.5 points (Over -125/Under -105)

Chargers vs Cardinals

Spreading: Chargers -1.5
Money line: Chargers (-120), Cardinals (+170)
More/less: 44.5

Range in the first half of the year: Chargers -0.5 (+102), Cardinals +0.5 (-125)
Cash line in the first half of the year: Chargers (-120), Cardinals (-105)
Total charger points: O/U 22.5 points (Over -115/Under -115)
Cardinals total points: O/U 21.5 points (Over -110/Under -120)

Props

Crows vs pirates

Walkthrough

Baker Mayfield’s passing totals: 249.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Mayfield Passing Totals: 1.5 (More than -125/Less than -105)
Lamar Jackson’s passing totals: 224.5 yards (Over -110/Under -120)
Jackson Passing Totals: 1.5 (More than -110/Less than -120)

Rush

Derrick Henry’s total yards: 79.5 (Over -140/Under +110)
Jackson’s total yards: 49.5 (More than -120/Less than -110)
Bucky Irving’s total yards: 39.5 (Over +115/Under -145)
Rachaad White total yards: 24.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Mayfield Total Yards: 14.5 (Over +105/Under -135)

Receipt

Chris Godwin’s total receiving yards: 79.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
Zay Flowers Total Receiving Yards: 59.5 (Over -130/Under)
Mike Evans Total Receiving Yards: 59.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Cade Otton’s total receiving yards: 39.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
Rashod Bateman’s total receiving yards: 34.5 (More than -125/Less than -105)
Mark Andrews Total Receiving Yards: 29.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
Isaiah Likely Total Receiving Yards: 24.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Nelson Agholor’s total receiving yards: 19.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
White’s total receiving yards: 19.5 (More than +110/Less than -140)

Chargers vs Cardinals

Walkthrough

Kyler Murray’s passing totals: 249.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Murray’s passing totals: 1.5 (More than -125/Less than -105)
Justin Herbert’s passing totals: 224.5 yards (Over -110/Under -120)
Herbert’s passing totals: 1.5 (More than -110/Less than -120)

Rush

J.C. Dobbins Ttotal rushing yards: 79.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
James Conner’s total yards: 59.5 (More than -120/Less than -110)
Murray’s total yards: 29.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Herbert’s total yards: 14.5 (Over -105/Under -125)

Receipt

Marvin Harrison Jr. Total Receiving Yards: 49.5 (Over -140/Under +110)
Ladd McConkey’s total receiving yards: 49.5 (Over -140/Under +110)
Trey McBride’s total receiving yards: 49.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Michael Wilson’s total receiving yards: 29.5 (Over -130/Under even)
Will Dissly’s total receiving yards: 24.5 (More than -125/Under -105)
Dobbins’ total receiving yards: 14.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Conner’s total receiving yards: 14.5 (Over +115/Under -145)

Choice for games

Crows vs pirates

Crows -3.5.

Eric Moody: Baltimore has always been considered a road favorite, sweeping the spread in each of its last four games. The Ravens’ offense, anchored by Lamar Jackson and a dominant rushing attack, leads the NFL in yards per game. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay’s defense has given up the seventh-most yards per game and consistently struggles on third downs, an area where Baltimore thrives. While the Buccaneers have exceeded expectations this season, the Ravens are riding a four-game winning streak and have one of the most efficient offenses in the league. Baltimore is well positioned to cover the spread even in tough road games.

Mayfield over 1.5 passing touchdowns.

Capricious: The Ravens’ secondary proved to be a weakness, and opposing teams took full advantage of it. Mayfield is in a great position to do the same, especially with one of the league’s best wide receiver duos in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. The Ravens defense has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards per game to receivers, and Mayfield has thrown touchdown passes in four of his six games this season. Baltimore’s defense has also allowed 1.8 passing touchdowns per game to quarterbacks, making this bet even more attractive.

More than 49.5 points.

Capricious: That’s a big number for this matchup, but both the Ravens and Buccaneers are offensive powerhouses that rank in the top five in points allowed per game. Baltimore has hit the over in five of its last six games, and Tampa Bay has done the same in five of its last seven. Jackson and Mayfield will be busy Monday night.

Chargers vs Cardinals

Harrison Jr.: 80+ receiving yards (+250)

Seth Walder: This is a narrow value for me, but my alternate receiving yards model gives a fair price here of +216. The point of the model and the argument for the rate is that not all recipients have the same yardage distribution. And a key factor in this case is the type of routes Harrison runs: 47% of his routes are vertical, the seventh-highest rate among qualified receivers. We can both assume that Harrison’s 49.5 median line is efficient and that he can be valuable with over 80 receiving yards because we’re playing for the extra variance that receivers get from running deep routes.

Betting Trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

Crows vs pirates

• Lamar Jackson is 27-12-2 on the road in his career, including 19-5-1 when he doesn’t score at least 4.5 points.

• The Buccaneers are 10-4 as underdogs since acquiring Baker Mayfield last season, including 8-2 in their last 10 games as underdogs. They are 2-2 overall and ATS are home underdogs in the period.

• Lamar Jackson is 15-7 in primetime games. Baker Mayfield is 5-9 in primetime (1-2 against the Buccaneers). Mayfield is 1-5 ATS on Monday Night Football (0-5 ATS in his last five games).

• The overs are 5-1 in Ravens games this season, including 3-0 on the road. Three games in a row the Buccaneers have topped the total.

• The players are under 81-52-1 in prime time over the last three seasons.

Chargers vs Cardinals

• The Chargers are 4-1 this season, including 3-0 as favorites. Entering 2022, the Chargers are 9-3 road favorites.

• The Anders are 4-1 in Chargers games this season. The Unders are 6-1 in their last seven games and 15-5 in their last 20 games.

• Kyler Murray is 15-22 in his career at home. Justin Herbert is 20-13 in his career on the road.

• The players are under 81-52-1 in prime time over the last three seasons.

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